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☆ Why America Still Can't Get Rid of High Prices, Inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Neil Dutta | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Typically, price increases are a slow-moving process, so it is rare to see core inflation accelerate this much this quickly. The Survey of Professional Forecasters has found longer-run expectations for inflation have leveled out at 2% — the Fed's target. These one-offs have had an outsize impact on the overall inflation picture. Ahead of 2024, the contribution from acyclical components to core inflation was essentially zero. The strong growth in private demand suggests that second-quarter GDP could be even more robust.

Persons: I've Organizations: America, Federal Reserve, PCE, Atlanta Fed Locations: Real

☆ Investors should load up on defensive sectors like consumer staples as macro data sends mixed signals about the economy, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The latest macro data is sending mixed signals, reflecting both a "no landing" and a "soft landing," Morgan Stanley said. The bank recommends defensive sectors, including consumer staples, to navigate volatility. AdvertisementInvestors should ramp up investments in defensive stock sectors like consumer staples and utilities as the latest data sends mixed signals about the economy, Morgan Stanley says. Based on this rationale, Wilson suggests opting for robust cyclical names in a no-landing scenario and premium growth stocks in a soft landing. It also provides some more defensiveness to portfolios as a hedge amid uncertain/unpredictable macro data," they said.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, Michael Wilson, Wilson, nonfarm, Staples, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Conference, Reserve Locations: today's

☆ Biden left without an easy solution as campus protests heat up
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Kevin Liptak | Jeff Zeleny | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

Demonstrators supporting Palestinians in Gaza barricade themselves inside Hamilton Hall at Columbia University in New York City on April 30. On Tuesday, White House officials sharply condemned the takeover of a building at Columbia University, voicing a rebuke of tactics they said went too far. Before police were deployed to campus, pro-Palestinian protesters and Israel supporters were clashing at the school , according to multiple reports. Joseph Prezioso/AFP/Getty Images Columbia University students gather for a picket organized by the Student Workers Union (UAW Local 2710) on Monday, April 29. Stefan Jeremiah/AP Israeli flags are reflected in the sunglasses of a demonstrator in front of Columbia University on April 22.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, ”, Mike Johnson, “, Karine Jean, Pierre, hadn’t, Alex Kent, Jean, ” Biden, —, “ Biden, nobody’s, Donald Trump, Lauren Hitt, haven’t, Etienne Laurent, Frederic J . Brown, Caitlin Ochs, David Dee Delgado, Spencer Platt, Charly Triballeau, Kena Betancur, Seyma, Joseph Prezioso, Suzanne Cordeiro, Diane Handal, Cliff Owen, Qian Weizhong, Mike Stewart, Sarah Reingewirtz, Jay Janner, Brandon Bell, Brian Snyder, Timothy A, Clary, Matthew Hatcher, Nuri Vallbona, Jordan Vonderhaar, Zaydee Sanchez, Cameron Jones, Stephanie Keith, Andres Kudacki, Tayfun, Joe Buglewicz, Fatih Aktas, Michael M, Mary Altaffer, Scott Eisen, Columbia's, Stefan Jeremiah, Selcuk, Morehouse, ’, Karim Safieddine, ” Safieddine, Todd Richmond, Dahlia Saba, Trump, ” Saba, ” Barry Burden, ” Burden, that’s Organizations: CNN, Hamilton Hall, Columbia University, Getty, US, White, Heritage Month, Republican, Fox News, National Guard, Kent State University, University of California, UCLA, Getty Images Police, Police, Hamilton, Reuters Police, Columbia, Reuters, The City College of New, Protesters, Getty Images, Columbia Students, Justice, Brown University, Getty Images Columbia University, Student Workers Union, UAW, University of Texas, Low, George Washington University, AP, Sunday, New York University, Rueters Georgia State Patrol, Emory University, MediaNews, Los Angeles Daily News, Austin Statesman, USA, Network, Austin, University, Emerson College, Swarthmore College, Bloomberg, University of Southern, Reuters New York, Reuters Columbia, New York Times, Sproul Hall, Yale University, University police, York University, The New School, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Library, Democratic, US Military Academy, West, Morehouse College, Biden, Syracuse University, University of Pittsburgh, United Steel, Trump, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Democratic Party, Elections Research Locations: New York, Los Angeles, Israel, Gaza, America, spokespeople, New York City, November’s, AFP, The City College of New York, Columbia, Columbia's, Palestine, Providence , Rhode Island, Texas, Austin, Washington ,, New, Rueters Georgia, Atlanta, Getty Images Texas, Boston, Swarthmore , Pennsylvania, University of Southern California, Berkeley, Sproul, Anadolu, New Haven , Connecticut, Cambridge, Vietnam, Biden’s, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee, Chicago

☆ ISM manufacturing index declines while prices measure spikes
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailISM manufacturing index declines while prices measure spikesCNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.

Persons: Rick Santelli

☆ It's going to be a massive week for the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

It's a big week for the stock market with a deluge of economic data set to be released. AdvertisementIt's going to be a massive week for the stock market as investors prepare for a deluge of economic data and corporate earnings results. Raymond James' chief investment officer Larry Adam highlighted the top five things to watch this week that could have a big impact on stock market prices. Finally, the April jobs report set to be released on Friday will be closely watched by investors. The jobs report will provide an update on the strength of the labor market," Adam said.

Persons: Raymond James, —, Larry Adam, Adam, Jerome Powell, Powell, Treasurys Organizations: Fed, Service, Treasury Department, Treasury, Apple, Investors, ISM Manufacturing, Manufacturing

☆ 12 portfolio companies report earnings in the week ahead. What we want to hear from each
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +15 min

The action quickly and sharply reversed back to the upside Friday after blowout earnings reports from Alphabet and Microsoft . In the week ahead, earnings are likely to drive the action again, though we'll get a few important macroeconomic reports. Earnings: We've got the biggest week of the earnings season ahead of us, with 12 Club holdings set to report. Eli Lilly 's report Tuesday morning continues to be all about sales of type-2 diabetes treatment Mounjaro and weight-loss drug Zepbound. In DuPont 's report Wednesday morning, we're looking for a continued rebound in its semiconductor business following a sequential increase last quarter.

Persons: Ford, we'll, Dow Jones, We've, Buckle, Eaton, Eli Lilly, Lilly, We're, Estee Lauder, Fabrizio Freda, we've, Linde, Bausch, Royal Philips, Woodward, SIRI, Archer, Johnson, Stanley Black, Decker, BAX, Cardinal Health, Parker, Belden, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Meta, Google Search, Big Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Ford Motor, Honeywell, Danaher, Labor Department, Labor, PMI, Services PMI, GE Healthcare, Amazon Web Services, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, DuPont, Bausch Health, U.S ., Appeals, Apple, iPhones, Vision, ON Semiconductor, Resource Partners, Franklin Resources, Paramount, Transocean Ltd, Semiconductors, Arch Capital, Logitech International, Lattice Semiconductor, F5 Networks, Sanmina Corporation, GE HealthCare, PayPal, 3M Company, McDonalds, Enterprise Products Partners, Cola Company, Melco Resorts, Entertainment, SiriusXM Holdings, Oatly, American Electric Power Company, Leidos Holdings, Marathon Petroleum, Daniels, Midland Co, Equitrans Midstream Corporation, HSBC Holdings, HSBC, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Lumen Technologies, Mondelez, Pfizer, CVS Health, Barrick, Mastercard Inc, Cruise Line Holdings Ltd, Kraft Heinz Company, Marriott International, Ares, Generac Holdings, Johnson Controls, Cenovus Energy Inc, Qualcomm, Devon Energy, Paycom, Axcelis Technologies, Coeur D'Alene Mines, Sunnova Energy International, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Solar Inc, Oil, Allstate, Co, Tenable Holdings, Enovix Corporation, Gladstone Capital, Avis Budget Group, eBay, EBAY, LIN, Novo Nordisk, Natural Resources, PENN Entertainment, Apache, ConocoPhillips, InMode Ltd, Baxter International, Cardinal, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Apollo Global Management, LLC, Cinemark Inc, Dominion Energy, Coterra Energy, Coinbase, Bill.com Holdings, Booking Holdings, United States Steel, AXT Inc, Materials, Energy, Hershey Company, XPO Logistics, Cboe, American Pipeline, Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Brookfield Business Partners, Brookfield Renewable Corporation, Magna International, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, megaprojects, China, Eaton, Corning, Coeur D'Alene, Albemarle, ALB, Novo, New York

☆ The Fed will be the main event in the week ahead that includes a jobs report, more tech earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

On top of that, the latest U.S. jobs market scorecard will be released along with more mega-cap earnings. This week, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed above 4.7% for the first time since November. That's down sharply from the six or seven rate cuts investors were anticipating coming into the year. April jobs Investors will also get an update on the labor picture next week, with the release of the April nonfarm payrolls report set for Friday. Corporate earnings season will also ramp up in the week ahead with a slew of consumer-facing companies set to report.

Persons: Stocks, Powell, David Alcaly, Jerome Powell's, we've, they're, Brian Nick, Matt Stucky, it's, Stucky, Dow Jones, Nick, Archer, Eli Lilly, Kraft, Estee, Ingersoll Rand, Stanley Black, Decker, Hershey Organizations: Nasdaq, Google, Microsoft, Treasury, Lazard Asset Management, Macro, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Apple, Micro Computer, Dallas Fed, Paramount, ON Semiconductor, Chicago PMI, Prudential Financial, Devices, Storage, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Daniels, Midland, Molson Coors Beverage, Marathon Petroleum, GE Healthcare Technologies, PayPal, ADP, P Global, Manufacturing, Oil, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Etsy, eBay, Qualcomm, MetLife, First, Devon Energy, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Marriott International, Kraft Heinz, Pfizer, Companies, CVS Health, Generac, Mastercard, Labor, Nation Entertainment, Booking Holdings, Natural Resources, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, EOG, Coterra Energy, Dominion Energy, Howmet Aerospace, ConocoPhillips, Moderna, PMI, Services PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago, McDonald's, Albemarle, EOG Resources

☆ A CIO details 4 reasons why the recent inflation spike is temporary — and says the Fed will still cut rates 3 times this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Raymond James' CIO also explained why he still sees the Fed cutting interest rates three times in 2024. But according to Raymond James chief investment officer Larry Adam, inflation is set to reverse lower and the Fed is going to cut interest rates at least three times this year. AdvertisementIf the economy slows, then so should inflation, and it should give the Fed more confidence to begin cutting interest rates. Real-time inflation metrics show a sharp declineWhile official government metrics show stubbornly high rent and used vehicle prices, real-time measures show considerably lower prices. The point is: there should be plenty of disinflation in the pipeline as CPI converges with some of these more real-time metrics," Adam said.

Persons: Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Reserve, Fed, Labor, ISM Manufacturing, ISM

☆ Hot inflation and high estimates could ruin the Q1 earnings season. Why investment chiefs are increasingly worried — and the bull case that profits are still underestimated.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Without strong profit progress in the Q1 earnings season starting in mid-April, US stocks may surrender their 8.2% year-to-date gain. Loftier estimates, top-heavy earnings are reasons for worryFirms have a rather low bar to clear in the upcoming earnings season, as is often the case. The market's largest companies are disproportionately driving earnings growth in addition to stock returns, Goldman Sachs found. The Q1 earnings season begins in earnest on Friday as big banks share results. Early reporters have beaten earnings estimates by 13.5%, Golub wrote, which he added is more than double the typical rate.

Persons: Richard Saperstein, James Ragan, David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Kostin, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, we're, Saglimbene, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Jonathan Golub, Golub, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Treasury Partners, DA Davidson, Nvidia, Big Tech, Bel Air Investment Advisors, UBS, Institute for Supply Management Locations: America

☆ Fundstrat's Tom Lee predicts the S&P 500 could end the year at 5,700, 'maybe even higher'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Inflationary pressures may have induced the recent market selloff, but Fundstrat's Tom Lee believes that equities could still end the year higher. The firm's head of research believes that investors may be putting too much weight into the recent economic data releases showing inflation above economists' expectations. Lee believes that even if the Federal Reserve only ends up cutting rates once this year, that could still be conducive for stocks. In fact, Lee believes that the S & P 500 could end the year at 5,700 or "maybe even higher," he said. But he also likes small-cap names ahead of interest rate cuts and finds industrial stocks attractive as the ISM manufacturing report turns higher.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Morgan Stanley says stocks are pricing in a 'no landing' scenario. How to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Morgan Stanley thinks stocks are positioning for economic growth to stay robust. A no landing scenario means the economy will continue chugging along despite higher Federal Reserve rates. Energy is the second best-performing S & P 500 sector during that time, up 16%. He also highlighted the outperformance in broader cyclical stocks, which are closely tied to the economy. To be sure, Wilson still has a 4,500 S & P 500 target for 2024 , the second lowest on CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey .

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Materials, Energy, PMI, CNBC Pro's, Survey Locations: Friday's

☆ Biden’s manufacturing industry is expanding, but that could be bad for inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-07 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

But a resurgence in the industry could complicate the Federal Reserve’s ongoing inflation fight, either delaying the first interest rate cut or resulting in fewer cuts this year, some economists say. Interest rates have been at a two-decade high since July, after the Fed raised rates aggressively over the prior year and a half. The economy picking up further strength would spook Wall Street because of what it means for interest rates — and some manufacturers say they’re optimistic about the future. The Bank of Canada announces its latest interest rate decision. China’s National Bureau of Statistics releases March inflation data.

Persons: Joe Biden, ”, Tom Barkin, “, Mary Daly, ” Daly, Jerome Powell, Neel Kashkari, ” Kashkari, ” Richard de Chazal, Blair, they’re “, Amazon’s, It’s, Ramishah Maruf, Amazon, haven’t, Read Organizations: Washington CNN, Institute for Supply Management, Congress, Fed, ” Richmond Fed, ” San Francisco Fed, Minneapolis, Dow, Blair Equity Research, Amazon, Fresh, Delta Air Lines, US Labor Department, Index, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, National Bureau of Statistics, Constellation Brands, European Central Bank, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, State, National Statistics, The University of Michigan Locations: Richmond , Virginia, ” San, Las Vegas, India, Wells Fargo, Progressive, BlackRock

☆ A renowned market bear who called the dot-com bubble warns the AI and economic recovery narratives fueling stocks are weak as analyst optimism sours — and says the Fed is fueling a bubble as valuation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

About 45% of changes to S&P 500 analysts' earnings estimates are upgrades, as shown in the chart below, down from 50% in early 2023. AdvertisementSociete GeneraleHistorically, analyst optimism has been a good indicator for the economy's direction. Below is the S&P 500's year-over-year percentage change along with the analyst optimism measure. He says the S&P 500 is in a bubble fueled by AI optimism and could fall as much as around 60%. He sees potential downside of 39% for the S&P 500.

Persons: —, Albert Edwards, Edwards, Powell's, Ed Yardeni, Let's, There's, Jeremy Grantham, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Business, Street, Nasdaq, Generale, Conference, Institute for Supply, subsiding, Fed, repo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bears, Rosenberg Research, policymaking

☆ The rally in oil cannot be ignored — here's what it means for stock market investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

U.S. oil prices have climbed to their highest level since late October, as the rally in the key commodity becomes something equity investors cannot afford to look past. In other words, the latest ISM Manufacturing report serves to support the view that the U.S. economy is doing much better than many believed it would just a few months ago. Oil trading at its highest levels since late October has implications for stock market investors. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation may be the core personal consumption expenditures price index, which removes the impact of food and energy prices, but consumers still pay for energy. The rise in energy prices — particularly at the gas pump — can result in a decrease of discretionary dollars left for other purchases.

Persons: Brent, —, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Frederic J, Brown Organizations: West Texas, Coterra Energy, Energy, Organization of Petroleum, PMI, Manufacturing, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of, CNBC, Afp, Getty Locations: U.S, Russia, OPEC, China, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian, Iranian, Syria, Iran, Taft, Kern County , California

☆ CNBC Daily Open: A projection is not a promise
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineU.S. Federal Reserve officials are dampening rate cut expectations again, and again. In comments echoing those of the Federal Open Market Committee's two weeks ago, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Tuesday she expects cuts this year — but wants to see more convincing evidence that inflation has been subdued. "Three rate cuts is a projection, and a projection is not a promise," Daly said.

Persons: Spencer Platt, Mary Daly, Daly, Loretta Mester, Vishnu Varathan, —, Jeff Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal, San Francisco Fed, Cleveland Federal, Malaysian, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Asia, Japan

☆ Jim Cramer says buy the dip in shares of this quality company of household brand names
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. During the Club's Morning Meeting, Jim Cramer said he's monitoring the potential impact of the massive earthquake in Taiwan on semiconductor production there. Jim Cramer called Eaton the "most megatrend big cap story there is," citing positives for the company from industrialization and artificial intelligence. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .

Persons: Jim Cramer, Eaton, Jim, Procter, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ADP, Treasury, Wall, Barclays, Procter, Gamble, JPMorgan Locations: Taiwan

☆ Why the next US recession may be pushed back to 2025, according to JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fears of an economic recession may have to be pushed back to 2025, according to JPMorgan. JPMorgan said the rebound in manufacturing activity bodes well for continued economic resilience. The note highlighted the unexpected strength seen in ISM manufacturing activity in March, which jumped above 50 for the first time since September 2022. A reading above 50 represents an expansion in manufacturing activity, while a reading below 50 represents a contraction. If a potential recession is pushed back to 2025 because of the solid manufacturing data, it would represent yet another year in which many economists were off in their recession predictions, though some have backed off their call for a recession following the resilience seen throughout 2023 even amid higher interest rates.

Persons: JPMorgan's Ellen Wang, Andrew Tyler, Wang, Tyler, Wang aren't Organizations: JPMorgan, Market Intelligence, Federal Reserve

☆ The Fed's first rate cut is still on pace for June with inflation dropping like a rock, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed's first rate cut is still on track to come in June, Fundstrat's Tom Lee said. Yet investors are only pricing in a 57% chance of a rate cut by June, per the CME FedWatch tool. AdvertisementThe Fed is still poised to issue its first rate cut in June as the pace of inflation continues to slow, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. All that points to a Fed that could be poised to cut rates sooner than markets are expecting, which is good news for stocks. Meanwhile, just 57% of investors are expecting the Fed to issue the first rate cut in June.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, —, Tom Lee, Lee, That's, Mohamed El Organizations: Service, Fed, University of Michigan's, France —, Traders Locations: France

☆ Tuesday's market sell-off is what happens when stocks are 'priced for perfection,' says investor James Abate
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Some of the key drivers that drove stocks to record highs in the first three months of the year are being undermined, leading to Tuesday's sell-off, according to investor James Abate. "Stocks are priced for perfection and for them to move higher or avoid a correction you needed rates to either go down and/or profits to move higher. Outside of macro and micro data, the stock market's woes have been exacerbated by rising geopolitical tensions, Abate added. The underperformance in the Russell 2000 small-cap index means that this market selloff isn't solely contained to high-flying tech stocks. Abate manages the Centre American Select Equity Fund, which has returned 8.9% year to date compared to its category average of 9.7%, according to Morningstar .

Persons: James Abate, Abate, Tesla, Russell, Wall Street's, Morningstar Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Centre Asset Management, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Dow, American, Equity Fund, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Locations: Syria

☆ Wall Street is getting nervous about Tesla
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, we're looking at why Wall Street is getting nervous about Tesla . South China Morning PostEarnings season is approaching, and Wall Street's already ringing the alarm on a high-profile company. AdvertisementTesla won't report its full earnings until later this month, but Wall Street is preparing for trouble. One analyst called it a "nightmare" quarter for the company, while another firm labeled Tesla "a growth company with no growth." One strategy is getting more Tesla drivers subscribed to its Full Self-Driving software, which can run $199 monthly.

Persons: —, Wall, Insider's Beatrice Nolan, Tesla, It's, that's, Elon Musk, ANDERSEN, Alyssa Powell, Donald Trump's, Ken Griffin's, Claire Merchlinsky, MoviePass, Ted Farnsworth, Manoj Bhargava, Putin, Elvira Nabiullina's, Forbes, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Tesla, China, Bloomberg, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Getty, BI Trump Media, SEC, Citadel, BI, Street Journal, Authentic Brands, Energy, Bank of Russia, The Locations: China, Russia's, Connecticut , Delaware , New York, Rhode Island, Wisconsin, New York, London

☆ 10-year Treasury yield rises slightly as bets on June rate cuts cool down
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury note yield was flat at 4.712%. The 10-year Treasury note yield rose slightly Tuesday, adding to its gains from the previous session, as traders reassessed the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in June. The ISM manufacturing index rose to 50.3, up from 47.8 in February and significantly better than the 48.1 Dow Jones consensus estimate. Markets interpreted the unexpected return of U.S. manufacturing growth "as reducing the chances of meaningful Fed rate cuts," Dutch bank ING said in a research note. The Fed also said at the time that it still expects three quarter-percentage point cuts by the end of the year.

Persons: Gregory Faranello, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, ING, AmeriVet Securities Locations: U.S

☆ Why the Fed's first rate cut could be delayed until March 2025 if inflation stays stubbornly high
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stubbornly high PCE inflation readings might make it difficult to lower them in June as many expect. BofA still expects three rate cuts this year, but says the next PCE readings will determine this. AdvertisementThat's because comparisons with last year's figures mean that year-over-year core PCE inflation is unlikely to decline further in the second half of 2024. "Base effects for year-over-year core PCE inflation are favorable through May, but unfavorable for six of the last seven months of the year," analysts said in a note. Prints of 30bp or more on the next two core PCE readings would probably take June off the table, particularly if activity holds up," they wrote.

Persons: BofA, —, it's, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Fed

☆ Stock futures are little changed after Dow's second straight losing day in new quarter: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell for a second day in a rough start to the quarter. S&P 500 futures were lower by 0.02%, while the Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.02%. The S&P 500 lost 0.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite tumbled nearly 1%. The S&P 500 is coming off its best first quarter since 2019. "We've heard day after day that we're either touching all-time highs or within reach of all-time highs.

Persons: Dow, Kristen, We've, Jerome Powell, Michelle Bowman, Adriana Kugler, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Levi Strauss Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Citi, Federal, Fed, Chicago Fed

☆ ISM manufacturing gauge tops expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailISM manufacturing gauge tops expectationsCNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.

Persons: Rick Santelli

☆ The market sees a less-than-50% chance of a June rate cut after hot factory data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Bond-market expectations of a June rate cut fell below 50% after strong factory data, according to Bloomberg data. ISM manufacturing data showed an expansion on Monday for the first time in 16 months. Inflation is in line with Fed hopes, but creates a "wait and see" situation for rate cuts, a former Fed official said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementBond-market expectations of a June rate cut took a hit on Monday as new factory data pushed odds below 50%, according to Bloomberg data.

Persons: Bond, — Organizations: Bloomberg, Fed, Service, Business

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